Gambrinus Liga: Week Two Tips

Posted on July 26, 2013 by

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Week 1 Review

It was an interesting opening weekend in the Gambrinus Liga. But there already appears to be ominous signs for the rest of the league as Plzeň and Sparta occupy the top two spots after a glut of goals. It’s hard to envisage anything but a two horse race this season.

There were some eye catching results – Brno’s 0-0 draw in Jablonec for one and Znojmo snatching an away point at Dukla – but I was disappointed with the Mlada Boleslav performance and result as they let a 1-0 lead slip against Příbram. They created another chances to win two games but dropped off the pace in the second half.

I had noticed that Boleslav had drifted from 1.50 to 1.70 in the lead up to kick off. In my opinion the 1.70 on offer was good value but, unfortunately, good value doesn’t always equate to winners. Nevertheless, backing teams at bigger prices than they should be will pay off in the long run.

The price on Sparta Prague to beat Jihlava had also drifted – I had wanted to back Sparta when I saw the fixtures but the initial 1.57 on offer was too skinny but the 1.72 they drifted out to made them a great bet. They duly obliged romping to a 4-1 win.

Week 2 Recommendations

Casting my eye over this weekend’s fixtures is a bit of a head scratcher. Sparta, who were knocked out of Europe last night after a 1-0 defeat in Sweden, look too short at 1.55 to beat Jablonec at home.  Tomáš Vaclík was their man of the match against Hacken, which shows how poorly they played. Jablonec usually start the season like a scolded cat so it won’t be an easy game for Sparta.

Liberec, you would think, should have enough to see off Slavia. Although you can never really tell which Slavia side will turn up, but Liberec have the benefit a home European game and the extra match fitness is a big advantage at this stage of the season – not to mention the momentum they have after progressing to the next round.

However, the best bet of the weekend looks to be in Moravia. Brno play host to Bohemians 1905 who are fresh off a 5-0 humping at Plzeň and you can currently get odds of 2.25 (in places) on a home win. A gift if I ever saw one. I will be looking to oppose Bohemians pretty much every time they play away from home, their defending last weekend was shambolic and Brno should be able to build on their credible 0-0 draw at Jablonec.

The fixture gods have been generous this weekend for those who live in the capital – you can soak up some sun at the Juliska on Saturday evening when Dukla entertain Olomouc, then watch Viktoria Žižkov followed by Sparta on Sunday for those that like that kinda thing.

RECOMMENDATIONS:

Brno to win against Bohemians 1905 at 2.25 with 888 sport.

Jablonec to win or draw against Sparta Praha at 2.35 with Fortuna.

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Posted in: Czech Football